2024 Election Prediction Usa. As of the end of july 2024, assuming a biden gallup approval score of 40 percent and a continued rate of jobs growth between 1 and 2 percent, the model predicts a very narrow democratic 2024 victory in the electoral college (275 votes). Learn more about the latest developments including us.

It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in july when president joe biden ended his campaign.